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Top opportunities, right now.
Live data from Polymarket Gamma + CLOB. Edge score blends orderbook imbalance, fair-price drift, volume and liquidity.
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0/ 5 signals this week
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Projected ROI · today's top 5
$0.00
If you'd staked $500 across 5 signals · 0.5% est. ROI
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~35% edge capture, 1% friction. Modeled, not realized.
You're seeing these signals before the crowd reacts.
Detected from order-flow microstructure — typically 2–8 minutes before mid-price catches up.
Top 3 today
Highest-conviction opportunities right now
Ranked by composite edge score
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
General · Yes
Entry
$0.07
Buy zone
0.01–0.17
Why this signal?
- Volume spike$1.7M
- Orderbook imbalance+92%
- Momentum shift+458bps
Summary:Heavy bid-side pressure on Yes with $1.7M flowing through the book. Model fair price above mid by 458bps — clear momentum up.
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
General · Yes
Entry
$0.01
Buy zone
0.01–0.11
Why this signal?
- Volume spike$1.3M
- Orderbook imbalance−81%
- Momentum shift-405bps
Summary:Heavy ask-side pressure on Yes with $1.3M flowing through the book. Model fair price below mid by 405bps — clear momentum down.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
General · Yes
Entry
$0.03
Buy zone
0.01–0.13
Why this signal?
- Volume spike$1.3M
- Orderbook imbalance+82%
- Momentum shift+410bps
Summary:Heavy bid-side pressure on Yes with $1.3M flowing through the book. Model fair price above mid by 410bps — clear momentum up.
More signals
Live, ranked by edge score
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
General · Yes
Entry
$0.33
Buy zone
0.23–0.43
Why this signal?
- Volume spike$959.2k
- Orderbook imbalance+91%
- Momentum shift+454bps
Summary:Heavy bid-side pressure on Yes with $959.2k flowing through the book. Model fair price above mid by 454bps — clear momentum up.
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
General · Yes
Entry
$0.25
Buy zone
0.15–0.35
Why this signal?
- Volume spike$901.2k
- Orderbook imbalance−84%
- Momentum shift-419bps
Summary:Heavy ask-side pressure on Yes with $901.2k flowing through the book. Model fair price below mid by 419bps — clear momentum down.
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
General · Yes
Entry
$0.97
Buy zone
0.87–0.99
Why this signal?
- Volume spike$826.0k
- Orderbook imbalance−81%
- Momentum shift-405bps
Summary:Heavy ask-side pressure on Yes with $826.0k flowing through the book. Model fair price below mid by 405bps — clear momentum down.
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
General · Yes
Entry
$0.07
Buy zone
0.01–0.17
Why this signal?
- Volume spike$3.2M
- Orderbook imbalance−34%
- Momentum shift-169bps
Summary:Ask imbalance building on Yes (34% skew). 169bps drift from fair value, momentum fading.
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
General · Yes
Entry
$0.01
Buy zone
0.01–0.11
Why this signal?
- Volume spike$5.8M
- Orderbook imbalance+1%
- Momentum shift+6bps
Summary:Volume surge on Yes — $5.8M traded last 24h. Edge within tight range — wait for confirmation.
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
General · Yes
Entry
$0.94
Buy zone
0.84–0.99
Why this signal?
- Volume spike$804.7k
- Orderbook imbalance−6%
- Momentum shift-32bps
Summary:Volume surge on Yes — $804.7k traded last 24h. Edge within tight range — wait for confirmation.
All signals
9 markets · ranked by score
| Market | Side | Mid → Fair | Edge | Imbalance | 24h Vol | Score | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? General | Yes | 0.075→0.546 | +458bps | +92% | $1.7M | 57MEDIUM | Open |
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? General | Yes | 0.013→0.459 | -405bps | −81% | $1.3M | 56MEDIUM | Open |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? General | Yes | 0.032→0.541 | +410bps | +82% | $1.3M | 55MEDIUM | Open |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? General | Yes | 0.325→0.545 | +454bps | +91% | $959.2k | 53MEDIUM | Open |
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? General | Yes | 0.252→0.458 | -419bps | −84% | $901.2k | 50MEDIUM | Open |
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? General | Yes | 0.971→0.460 | -405bps | −81% | $826.0k | 47MEDIUM | Open |
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? General | Yes | 0.075→0.483 | -169bps | −34% | $3.2M | 29WATCH | Open |
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? General | Yes | 0.013→0.501 | +6bps | +1% | $5.8M | 0WATCH | Open |
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? General | Yes | 0.945→0.497 | -32bps | −6% | $804.7k | 0WATCH | Open |
Free tier shows live, public data with full methodology transparency. Pro adds custom thresholds, alerts and order-flow charts. Not financial advice — prediction markets carry substantial risk.