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Top opportunities, right now.

Live data from Polymarket Gamma + CLOB. Edge score blends orderbook imbalance, fair-price drift, volume and liquidity.

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Markets scanned

Strong signals

Median edge

367bps

Avg spread

2000bps

Your activity

0/ 5 signals this week

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5 more to hit your weekly goal

Projected ROI · today's top 5

$0.00

If you'd staked $500 across 5 signals · 2.1% est. ROI

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Stake / signal

~55% edge capture, 0.5% friction. Modeled, not realized.

You're seeing these signals before the crowd reacts.

Detected from order-flow microstructure — typically 2–8 minutes before mid-price catches up.

Edge active

Free preview · live signal

Here's one of today's top opportunities

This is a real, live signal — refreshed every few seconds. Members see all 18.

Free sample

📊

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

General · Yes

Breakout forming

Entry

$0.80

Buy zone

0.70–0.90

Confidence5.5/10

Why this signal?

Volume spike
$972.4k
Orderbook imbalance
+94%
Momentum shift
+469bps

Summary:Heavy bid-side pressure on Yes with $972.4k flowing through the book. Model fair price above mid by 469bps — clear momentum up.

+469bps edge

Trade

+ 17 more signals

The rest are unlocked below ↓

More top picks

Highest-conviction opportunities right now

Ranked by composite edge score

📊

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

General · Yes

Breakout forming

Entry

$0.20

Buy zone

0.10–0.30

Confidence5.4/10

Why this signal?

Volume spike
$742.9k
Orderbook imbalance
+85%
Momentum shift
+423bps

Summary:Heavy bid-side pressure on Yes with $742.9k flowing through the book. Model fair price above mid by 423bps — clear momentum up.

+423bps edge

Trade

📊

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

General · Yes

Breakout forming

Entry

$0.14

Buy zone

0.04–0.24

Confidence5.3/10

Why this signal?

Volume spike
$436.1k
Orderbook imbalance
+98%
Momentum shift
+488bps

Summary:Heavy bid-side pressure on Yes with $436.1k flowing through the book. Model fair price above mid by 488bps — clear momentum up.

+488bps edge

Trade

📊

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng

General · Qinwen Zheng

Breakout forming

Entry

$0.58

Buy zone

0.48–0.68

Confidence5.0/10

Why this signal?

Volume spike
$182.5k
Orderbook imbalance
−99%
Momentum shift
-494bps

Summary:Heavy ask-side pressure on Qinwen Zheng with $182.5k flowing through the book. Model fair price below mid by 494bps — clear momentum down.

-494bps edge

Trade

More signals

Live, ranked by edge score

📊

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

General · Yes

Breakout forming

Entry

$0.10

Buy zone

0.01–0.20

Confidence4.9/10

Why this signal?

Volume spike
$112.4k
Orderbook imbalance
−97%
Momentum shift
-487bps

Summary:Heavy ask-side pressure on Yes with $112.4k flowing through the book. Model fair price below mid by 487bps — clear momentum down.

-487bps edge

Trade

📊

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

General · Yes

Breakout forming

Entry

$0.20

Buy zone

0.10–0.30

Confidence4.8/10

Why this signal?

Volume spike
$543.6k
Orderbook imbalance
−74%
Momentum shift
-370bps

Summary:Heavy ask-side pressure on Yes with $543.6k flowing through the book. Model fair price below mid by 370bps — clear momentum down.

-370bps edge

Trade

📊

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

General · Yes

Breakout forming

Entry

$0.01

Buy zone

0.01–0.11

Confidence4.7/10

Why this signal?

Volume spike
$125.8k
Orderbook imbalance
+95%
Momentum shift
+475bps

Summary:Heavy bid-side pressure on Yes with $125.8k flowing through the book. Model fair price above mid by 475bps — clear momentum up.

+475bps edge

Trade

📊

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage

General · BNK FEARX

Breakout forming

Entry

$0.26

Buy zone

0.15–0.35

Confidence4.6/10

Why this signal?

Volume spike
$207.5k
Orderbook imbalance
−80%
Momentum shift
-401bps

Summary:Heavy ask-side pressure on BNK FEARX with $207.5k flowing through the book. Model fair price below mid by 401bps — clear momentum down.

-401bps edge

Trade

📊

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?

General · No

Breakout forming

Entry

$0.51

Buy zone

0.41–0.61

Confidence4.3/10

Why this signal?

Volume spike
$308.1k
Orderbook imbalance
+73%
Momentum shift
+363bps

Summary:Heavy bid-side pressure on No with $308.1k flowing through the book. Model fair price above mid by 363bps — clear momentum up.

+363bps edge

Trade

📊

US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?

General · Yes

Breakout forming

Entry

$0.38

Buy zone

0.28–0.47

Confidence4.3/10

Why this signal?

Volume spike
$162.6k
Orderbook imbalance
+83%
Momentum shift
+416bps

Summary:Heavy bid-side pressure on Yes with $162.6k flowing through the book. Model fair price above mid by 416bps — clear momentum up.

+416bps edge

Trade

📊

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?

General · Yes

Breakout forming

Entry

$0.07

Buy zone

0.01–0.17

Confidence4.1/10

Why this signal?

Volume spike
$138.2k
Orderbook imbalance
−72%
Momentum shift
-362bps

Summary:Heavy ask-side pressure on Yes with $138.2k flowing through the book. Model fair price below mid by 362bps — clear momentum down.

-362bps edge

Trade

📊

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?

General · Yes

Breakout forming

Entry

$0.87

Buy zone

0.77–0.97

Confidence4.0/10

Why this signal?

Volume spike
$366.9k
Orderbook imbalance
−63%
Momentum shift
-315bps

Summary:Heavy ask-side pressure on Yes with $366.9k flowing through the book. Model fair price below mid by 315bps — clear momentum down.

-315bps edge

Trade

All signals

18 markets · ranked by score

Market	Side	Mid → Fair	Edge	Imbalance	24h Vol	Score	Open
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? General	Yes	0.795→0.547	+469bps	+94%	$972.4k	55MEDIUM	Open
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? General	Yes	0.205→0.542	+423bps	+85%	$742.9k	54MEDIUM	Open
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? General	Yes	0.135→0.549	+488bps	+98%	$436.1k	53MEDIUM	Open
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng General	Qinwen Zheng	0.585→0.451	-494bps	−99%	$182.5k	50MEDIUM	Open
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? General	Yes	0.097→0.451	-487bps	−97%	$112.4k	49MEDIUM	Open
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? General	Yes	0.202→0.463	-370bps	−74%	$543.6k	48MEDIUM	Open
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? General	Yes	0.014→0.548	+475bps	+95%	$125.8k	47MEDIUM	Open
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage General	BNK FEARX	0.255→0.460	-401bps	−80%	$207.5k	46MEDIUM	Open
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? General	No	0.508→0.536	+363bps	+73%	$308.1k	43MEDIUM	Open
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? General	Yes	0.375→0.542	+416bps	+83%	$162.6k	43MEDIUM	Open
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? General	Yes	0.072→0.464	-362bps	−72%	$138.2k	41MEDIUM	Open
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? General	Yes	0.870→0.469	-315bps	−63%	$366.9k	40WATCH	Open
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? General	Yes	0.057→0.527	+268bps	+54%	$159.0k	38WATCH	Open
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? General	Yes	0.011→0.522	+220bps	+44%	$106.8k	29WATCH	Open
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? General	No	0.815→0.490	-95bps	−19%	$157.6k	5WATCH	Open
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage General	KT Rolster	0.325→0.492	-81bps	−16%	$138.5k	4WATCH	Open
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? General	Yes	0.565→0.501	+11bps	+2%	$174.2k	0WATCH	Open
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27? General	Yes	0.983→0.496	-43bps	−9%	$132.6k	0WATCH	Open

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Free tier shows live, public data with full methodology transparency. Pro adds custom thresholds, alerts and order-flow charts. Not financial advice — prediction markets carry substantial risk.